EL NIÑO, THE WEATHER PATTERN

IMPORTANT UPDATES FOR ECUADOR, PERU AND CHILE

Every El Niño season, we hear the same worry from partners abroad, about what a changing climate means for our destinations, and for the experience their clients will have there. This page gathers what each country's own scientific agencies and press are actually reporting, so you can speak to your clients from what is happening, place by place. It's a small piece of what we mean by on-the-ground insight, knowing a place before designing a journey there.
September 7, 2026 · Coast · Amazon · Ecuador
INAMHI declares red alert, details Ecuador's rain pattern
Ecuador declared a red alert. INAMHI forecasts more rain on the coast and Amazon, less across the Sierra, from Carchi to Loja.
September 2026 Galápagos · Ecuador
The Foundation reported El Niño 2026 threatens Galápagos species by reducing food and disrupting reproduction in marine wildlife.
September 2026 Coast · Andes · Peru
Peru declared a 60-day state of emergency in districts across 23 regions, including Lima and Ica, over El Niño flood risk. Cusco isn't among them, though transport access stays weather-sensitive.
August 2026 Equatorial Pacific · Global
WMO confirms El Niño is firmly established
WMO confirmed El Niño was established, forecasting near 100% odds it persists through February 2027, very strong.
August 28, 2026 Peru
ENFEN forecasts an extraordinary-magnitude El Niño through January 2027
ENFEN forecasts El Niño reaching extraordinary magnitude from September 2026 to January 2027, with record air temperatures and above-normal rain likely on Peru's north coast.
July 3, 2026 Equatorial Pacific · Global
WMO reported a fast move toward a strong El Niño for July-September 2026, with strong model agreement.
May 17, 2026 Pacific Ocean · Peru
Peru's ENFEN confirms a weak-to-moderate coastal El Niño
ENFEN reported a weak coastal El Niño, possibly moderate by August, likely continuing through February 2027.
May 5, 2026 Andes · Chile
A model projects a stronger El Niño ahead in Chile
ECMWF projected a warmer winter and spring in Chile's north and Andes, with rain above average in the central-south from August.
April 29, 2026 Atacama · Chile
Chile confirms a shift toward El Niño
DMC forecast rain from normal to above normal from southern Atacama through northern Los Lagos and part of Aysén, dry conditions holding in the north.
September 2026 Coast · Andes · Peru
Peru declared a 60-day state of emergency in districts across 23 regions, including Lima and Ica, over El Niño flood risk. Cusco isn't among them, though transport access stays weather-sensitive.
August 28, 2026 Peru
ENFEN forecasts an extraordinary-magnitude El Niño through January 2027
ENFEN forecasts El Niño reaching extraordinary magnitude from September 2026 to January 2027, with record air temperatures and above-normal rain likely on Peru's north coast.
May 17, 2026 Pacific Ocean · Peru
Peru's ENFEN confirms a weak-to-moderate coastal El Niño
ENFEN reported a weak coastal El Niño, possibly moderate by August, likely continuing through February 2027.
September 7, 2026 · Coast · Amazon · Ecuador
INAMHI declares red alert, details Ecuador's rain pattern
Ecuador declared a red alert. INAMHI forecasts more rain on the coast and Amazon, less across the Sierra, from Carchi to Loja.
September 2026 Galápagos · Ecuador
The Foundation reported El Niño 2026 threatens Galápagos species by reducing food and disrupting reproduction in marine wildlife.
May 5, 2026 Andes · Chile
A model projects a stronger El Niño ahead in Chile
ECMWF projected a warmer winter and spring in Chile's north and Andes, with rain above average in the central-south from August.
April 29, 2026 Atacama · Chile
Chile confirms a shift toward El Niño
DMC forecast rain from normal to above normal from southern Atacama through northern Los Lagos and part of Aysén, dry conditions holding in the north.
August 2026 Equatorial Pacific · Global
WMO confirms El Niño is firmly established
WMO confirmed El Niño was established, forecasting near 100% odds it persists through February 2027, very strong.
July 3, 2026 Equatorial Pacific · Global
WMO reported a fast move toward a strong El Niño for July-September 2026, with strong model agreement.

Our Tropic Specialists follow these sources closely. 

If any of this raises a question about where to send your guests next, we’re always glad to talk it through.